Predictions
| Created | Event | Selection | Odds | Raw | No-vig | Model | Fair odds | EV | Break-even edge | Market edge | Version | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Arsenal – Southampton | over_2_5 | 1.36 | 73.53 % | 69.71 % | 69.48 % | 1.44 | -5.51 % | -4.05 % | -0.23 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Arsenal – Southampton | under_2_5 | 3.13 | 31.95 % | 30.29 % | 30.52 % | 3.28 | -4.46 % | -1.42 % | 0.23 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Brentford – Wolves | over_2_5 | 1.78 | 56.18 % | 53.89 % | 51.59 % | 1.94 | -8.17 % | -4.59 % | -2.30 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Brentford – Wolves | under_2_5 | 2.08 | 48.08 % | 46.11 % | 48.41 % | 2.07 | 0.70 % | 0.34 % | 2.30 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Leicester – Bournemouth | over_2_5 | 1.69 | 59.17 % | 56.67 % | 63.21 % | 1.58 | 6.82 % | 4.04 % | 6.54 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Leicester – Bournemouth | under_2_5 | 2.21 | 45.25 % | 43.33 % | 36.79 % | 2.72 | -18.69 % | -8.46 % | -6.54 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Man City – Fulham | over_2_5 | 1.45 | 68.97 % | 65.39 % | 66.96 % | 1.49 | -2.91 % | -2.01 % | 1.57 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Man City – Fulham | under_2_5 | 2.74 | 36.50 % | 34.61 % | 33.04 % | 3.03 | -9.47 % | -3.46 % | -1.57 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | West Ham – Ipswich | over_2_5 | 1.69 | 59.17 % | 56.67 % | 69.77 % | 1.43 | 17.91 % | 10.60 % | 13.10 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | West Ham – Ipswich | under_2_5 | 2.21 | 45.25 % | 43.33 % | 30.23 % | 3.31 | -33.18 % | -15.02 % | -13.10 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Coventry – Sheffield Weds | over_2_5 | 1.74 | 57.47 % | 54.57 % | 43.97 % | 2.27 | -23.49 % | -13.50 % | -10.60 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Coventry – Sheffield Weds | under_2_5 | 2.09 | 47.85 % | 45.43 % | 56.03 % | 1.78 | 17.10 % | 8.18 % | 10.60 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Derby – QPR | over_2_5 | 2.05 | 48.78 % | 46.34 % | 41.11 % | 2.43 | -15.73 % | -7.67 % | -5.23 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Derby – QPR | under_2_5 | 1.77 | 56.50 % | 53.66 % | 58.89 % | 1.70 | 4.24 % | 2.40 % | 5.23 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Plymouth – Blackburn | over_2_5 | 1.66 | 60.24 % | 57.11 % | 52.69 % | 1.90 | -12.53 % | -7.55 % | -4.41 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Plymouth – Blackburn | under_2_5 | 2.21 | 45.25 % | 42.89 % | 47.31 % | 2.11 | 4.55 % | 2.06 % | 4.41 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Sheffield United – Luton | over_2_5 | 1.87 | 53.48 % | 50.79 % | 45.82 % | 2.18 | -14.32 % | -7.66 % | -4.97 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Sheffield United – Luton | under_2_5 | 1.93 | 51.81 % | 49.21 % | 54.18 % | 1.85 | 4.57 % | 2.37 % | 4.97 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Swansea – Stoke | over_2_5 | 1.92 | 52.08 % | 49.47 % | 43.68 % | 2.29 | -16.14 % | -8.40 % | -5.80 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Swansea – Stoke | under_2_5 | 1.88 | 53.19 % | 50.53 % | 56.32 % | 1.78 | 5.88 % | 3.13 % | 5.80 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Watford – Middlesbrough | over_2_5 | 1.66 | 60.24 % | 57.22 % | 46.17 % | 2.17 | -23.36 % | -14.07 % | -11.05 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Watford – Middlesbrough | under_2_5 | 2.22 | 45.05 % | 42.78 % | 53.83 % | 1.86 | 19.50 % | 8.78 % | 11.05 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | West Brom – Millwall | over_2_5 | 2.31 | 43.29 % | 41.07 % | 37.62 % | 2.66 | -13.09 % | -5.67 % | -3.45 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | West Brom – Millwall | under_2_5 | 1.61 | 62.11 % | 58.93 % | 62.38 % | 1.60 | 0.43 % | 0.27 % | 3.45 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Getafe – Osasuna | over_2_5 | 3.03 | 33.00 % | 31.29 % | 30.41 % | 3.29 | -7.86 % | -2.59 % | -0.88 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Getafe – Osasuna | under_2_5 | 1.38 | 72.46 % | 68.71 % | 69.59 % | 1.44 | -3.96 % | -2.87 % | 0.88 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | St Etienne – Auxerre | over_2_5 | 1.89 | 52.91 % | 50.65 % | 51.49 % | 1.94 | -2.69 % | -1.42 % | 0.83 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | St Etienne – Auxerre | under_2_5 | 1.94 | 51.55 % | 49.35 % | 48.51 % | 2.06 | -5.88 % | -3.03 % | -0.83 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Atalanta – Genoa | over_2_5 | 1.80 | 55.56 % | 53.13 % | 69.69 % | 1.43 | 25.45 % | 14.14 % | 16.57 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Atalanta – Genoa | under_2_5 | 2.04 | 49.02 % | 46.88 % | 30.31 % | 3.30 | -38.18 % | -18.71 % | -16.57 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Everton – Newcastle | over_2_5 | 1.69 | 59.17 % | 56.67 % | 56.05 % | 1.78 | -5.28 % | -3.13 % | -0.62 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Everton – Newcastle | under_2_5 | 2.21 | 45.25 % | 43.33 % | 43.95 % | 2.28 | -2.86 % | -1.29 % | 0.62 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | St Pauli – Mainz | over_2_5 | 1.87 | 53.48 % | 51.30 % | 38.77 % | 2.58 | -27.50 % | -14.70 % | -12.53 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | St Pauli – Mainz | under_2_5 | 1.97 | 50.76 % | 48.70 % | 61.23 % | 1.63 | 20.62 % | 10.47 % | 12.53 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Las Palmas – Celta | over_2_5 | 1.76 | 56.82 % | 54.40 % | 39.18 % | 2.55 | -31.05 % | -17.64 % | -15.23 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Las Palmas – Celta | under_2_5 | 2.10 | 47.62 % | 45.60 % | 60.82 % | 1.64 | 27.73 % | 13.21 % | 15.23 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Valladolid – Vallecano | over_2_5 | 2.58 | 38.76 % | 36.92 % | 32.05 % | 3.12 | -17.32 % | -6.71 % | -4.87 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Valladolid – Vallecano | under_2_5 | 1.51 | 66.23 % | 63.08 % | 67.95 % | 1.47 | 2.61 % | 1.73 % | 4.87 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Lille – Toulouse | over_2_5 | 1.83 | 54.64 % | 52.47 % | 53.20 % | 1.88 | -2.64 % | -1.45 % | 0.73 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Lille – Toulouse | under_2_5 | 2.02 | 49.50 % | 47.53 % | 46.80 % | 2.14 | -5.46 % | -2.70 % | -0.73 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Inter – Torino | over_2_5 | 1.69 | 59.17 % | 56.67 % | 61.03 % | 1.64 | 3.15 % | 1.86 % | 4.37 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Inter – Torino | under_2_5 | 2.21 | 45.25 % | 43.33 % | 38.97 % | 2.57 | -13.88 % | -6.28 % | -4.37 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Real Madrid – Villarreal | over_2_5 | 1.31 | 76.34 % | 72.30 % | 57.61 % | 1.74 | -24.53 % | -18.73 % | -14.70 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Real Madrid – Villarreal | under_2_5 | 3.42 | 29.24 % | 27.70 % | 42.39 % | 2.36 | 44.98 % | 13.15 % | 14.70 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Rennes – Monaco | over_2_5 | 1.63 | 61.35 % | 58.63 % | 61.92 % | 1.61 | 0.93 % | 0.57 % | 3.29 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Rennes – Monaco | under_2_5 | 2.31 | 43.29 % | 41.37 % | 38.08 % | 2.63 | -12.04 % | -5.21 % | -3.29 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Juventus – Cagliari | over_2_5 | 1.95 | 51.28 % | 49.09 % | 58.15 % | 1.72 | 13.40 % | 6.87 % | 9.07 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Juventus – Cagliari | under_2_5 | 1.88 | 53.19 % | 50.91 % | 41.85 % | 2.39 | -21.33 % | -11.35 % | -9.07 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Girona – Ath Bilbao | over_2_5 | 2.01 | 49.75 % | 47.66 % | 52.24 % | 1.91 | 5.01 % | 2.49 % | 4.59 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:29 | Girona – Ath Bilbao | under_2_5 | 1.83 | 54.64 % | 52.34 % | 47.76 % | 2.09 | -12.61 % | -6.89 % | -4.59 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |