Predictions
| Created | Event | Selection | Odds | Raw | No-vig | Model | Fair odds | EV | Break-even edge | Market edge | Version | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Arsenal – Everton | over_2_5 | 1.73 | 57.80 % | 54.95 % | 55.76 % | 1.79 | -3.53 % | -2.04 % | 0.82 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Arsenal – Everton | under_2_5 | 2.11 | 47.39 % | 45.05 % | 44.24 % | 2.26 | -6.66 % | -3.16 % | -0.82 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Liverpool – West Ham | over_2_5 | 1.38 | 72.46 % | 68.71 % | 73.14 % | 1.37 | 0.93 % | 0.68 % | 4.43 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Liverpool – West Ham | under_2_5 | 3.03 | 33.00 % | 31.29 % | 26.86 % | 3.72 | -18.61 % | -6.14 % | -4.43 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Norwich – Leicester | over_2_5 | 1.72 | 58.14 % | 55.32 % | 68.33 % | 1.46 | 17.53 % | 10.19 % | 13.01 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Norwich – Leicester | under_2_5 | 2.13 | 46.95 % | 44.68 % | 31.67 % | 3.16 | -32.55 % | -15.28 % | -13.01 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Brighton – Crystal Palace | over_2_5 | 2.31 | 43.29 % | 41.22 % | 34.92 % | 2.86 | -19.34 % | -8.37 % | -6.30 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Brighton – Crystal Palace | under_2_5 | 1.62 | 61.73 % | 58.78 % | 65.08 % | 1.54 | 5.43 % | 3.35 % | 6.30 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Bournemouth – Chelsea | over_2_5 | 1.80 | 55.56 % | 53.00 % | 58.60 % | 1.71 | 5.48 % | 3.05 % | 5.60 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Bournemouth – Chelsea | under_2_5 | 2.03 | 49.26 % | 47.00 % | 41.40 % | 2.42 | -15.96 % | -7.86 % | -5.60 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Newcastle – Burnley | over_2_5 | 2.34 | 42.74 % | 40.61 % | 43.58 % | 2.29 | 1.97 % | 0.84 % | 2.97 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Newcastle – Burnley | under_2_5 | 1.60 | 62.50 % | 59.39 % | 56.42 % | 1.77 | -9.72 % | -6.08 % | -2.97 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | West Ham – Southampton | over_2_5 | 1.75 | 57.14 % | 54.19 % | 65.54 % | 1.53 | 14.70 % | 8.40 % | 11.35 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | West Ham – Southampton | under_2_5 | 2.07 | 48.31 % | 45.81 % | 34.46 % | 2.90 | -28.67 % | -13.85 % | -11.35 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Watford – Liverpool | over_2_5 | 1.64 | 60.98 % | 57.95 % | 63.09 % | 1.59 | 3.47 % | 2.12 % | 5.14 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Watford – Liverpool | under_2_5 | 2.26 | 44.25 % | 42.05 % | 36.91 % | 2.71 | -16.59 % | -7.34 % | -5.14 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Everton – Man United | over_2_5 | 1.98 | 50.51 % | 48.03 % | 54.82 % | 1.82 | 8.55 % | 4.32 % | 6.79 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Everton – Man United | under_2_5 | 1.83 | 54.64 % | 51.97 % | 45.18 % | 2.21 | -17.32 % | -9.47 % | -6.79 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Tottenham – Wolves | over_2_5 | 2.22 | 45.05 % | 42.78 % | 56.86 % | 1.76 | 26.24 % | 11.82 % | 14.08 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Tottenham – Wolves | under_2_5 | 1.66 | 60.24 % | 57.22 % | 43.14 % | 2.32 | -28.40 % | -17.11 % | -14.08 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Liverpool – Bournemouth | over_2_5 | 1.47 | 68.03 % | 64.58 % | 68.33 % | 1.46 | 0.44 % | 0.30 % | 3.75 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Liverpool – Bournemouth | under_2_5 | 2.68 | 37.31 % | 35.42 % | 31.67 % | 3.16 | -15.11 % | -5.64 % | -3.75 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Arsenal – West Ham | over_2_5 | 1.60 | 62.50 % | 59.49 % | 63.94 % | 1.56 | 2.31 % | 1.44 % | 4.45 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Arsenal – West Ham | under_2_5 | 2.35 | 42.55 % | 40.51 % | 36.06 % | 2.77 | -15.26 % | -6.49 % | -4.45 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Crystal Palace – Watford | over_2_5 | 2.28 | 43.86 % | 41.69 % | 30.54 % | 3.27 | -30.38 % | -13.32 % | -11.15 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Crystal Palace – Watford | under_2_5 | 1.63 | 61.35 % | 58.31 % | 69.46 % | 1.44 | 13.23 % | 8.12 % | 11.15 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Sheffield United – Norwich | over_2_5 | 2.06 | 48.54 % | 46.21 % | 37.90 % | 2.64 | -21.92 % | -10.64 % | -8.31 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Sheffield United – Norwich | under_2_5 | 1.77 | 56.50 % | 53.79 % | 62.10 % | 1.61 | 9.91 % | 5.60 % | 8.31 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Southampton – Newcastle | over_2_5 | 1.81 | 55.25 % | 52.62 % | 49.35 % | 2.03 | -10.67 % | -5.90 % | -3.27 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Southampton – Newcastle | under_2_5 | 2.01 | 49.75 % | 47.38 % | 50.65 % | 1.97 | 1.80 % | 0.90 % | 3.27 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Wolves – Brighton | over_2_5 | 1.99 | 50.25 % | 47.77 % | 51.43 % | 1.94 | 2.34 % | 1.18 % | 3.66 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Wolves – Brighton | under_2_5 | 1.82 | 54.95 % | 52.23 % | 48.57 % | 2.06 | -11.60 % | -6.37 % | -3.66 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Burnley – Tottenham | over_2_5 | 2.06 | 48.54 % | 46.21 % | 58.41 % | 1.71 | 20.32 % | 9.86 % | 12.19 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Burnley – Tottenham | under_2_5 | 1.77 | 56.50 % | 53.79 % | 41.59 % | 2.40 | -26.38 % | -14.90 % | -12.19 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Chelsea – Everton | over_2_5 | 1.71 | 58.48 % | 55.58 % | 66.31 % | 1.51 | 13.40 % | 7.83 % | 10.73 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Chelsea – Everton | under_2_5 | 2.14 | 46.73 % | 44.42 % | 33.69 % | 2.97 | -27.91 % | -13.04 % | -10.73 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Man United – Man City | over_2_5 | 1.66 | 60.24 % | 57.22 % | 64.29 % | 1.56 | 6.72 % | 4.05 % | 7.07 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Man United – Man City | under_2_5 | 2.22 | 45.05 % | 42.78 % | 35.71 % | 2.80 | -20.72 % | -9.33 % | -7.07 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Leicester – Aston Villa | over_2_5 | 1.52 | 65.79 % | 62.00 % | 75.59 % | 1.32 | 14.89 % | 9.80 % | 13.59 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Leicester – Aston Villa | under_2_5 | 2.48 | 40.32 % | 38.00 % | 24.41 % | 4.10 | -39.45 % | -15.91 % | -13.59 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Aston Villa – Sheffield United | over_2_5 | 2.08 | 48.08 % | 45.83 % | 44.87 % | 2.23 | -6.68 % | -3.21 % | -0.97 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Aston Villa – Sheffield United | under_2_5 | 1.76 | 56.82 % | 54.17 % | 55.13 % | 1.81 | -2.96 % | -1.68 % | 0.97 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Man City – Arsenal | over_2_5 | 1.38 | 72.46 % | 68.78 % | 71.72 % | 1.39 | -1.02 % | -0.74 % | 2.94 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Man City – Arsenal | under_2_5 | 3.04 | 32.89 % | 31.22 % | 28.28 % | 3.54 | -14.04 % | -4.62 % | -2.94 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Norwich – Southampton | over_2_5 | 1.92 | 52.08 % | 49.87 % | 54.53 % | 1.83 | 4.70 % | 2.45 % | 4.66 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Norwich – Southampton | under_2_5 | 1.91 | 52.36 % | 50.13 % | 45.47 % | 2.20 | -13.16 % | -6.89 % | -4.66 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Tottenham – Man United | over_2_5 | 1.94 | 51.55 % | 49.35 % | 55.78 % | 1.79 | 8.21 % | 4.23 % | 6.43 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Tottenham – Man United | under_2_5 | 1.89 | 52.91 % | 50.65 % | 44.22 % | 2.26 | -16.42 % | -8.69 % | -6.43 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Watford – Leicester | over_2_5 | 1.91 | 52.36 % | 50.13 % | 57.24 % | 1.75 | 9.32 % | 4.88 % | 7.11 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Watford – Leicester | under_2_5 | 1.92 | 52.08 % | 49.87 % | 42.76 % | 2.34 | -17.89 % | -9.32 % | -7.11 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |