Predictions
| Created | Event | Selection | Odds | Raw | No-vig | Model | Fair odds | EV | Break-even edge | Market edge | Version | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Leicester – Watford | over_2_5 | 1.63 | 61.35 % | 58.52 % | 78.27 % | 1.28 | 27.58 % | 16.92 % | 19.75 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Leicester – Watford | under_2_5 | 2.30 | 43.48 % | 41.48 % | 21.73 % | 4.60 | -50.02 % | -21.75 % | -19.75 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Man United – Tottenham | over_2_5 | 1.80 | 55.56 % | 53.00 % | 65.55 % | 1.53 | 17.98 % | 9.99 % | 12.54 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Man United – Tottenham | under_2_5 | 2.03 | 49.26 % | 47.00 % | 34.45 % | 2.90 | -30.06 % | -14.81 % | -12.54 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Southampton – Norwich | over_2_5 | 1.59 | 62.89 % | 59.85 % | 71.20 % | 1.40 | 13.21 % | 8.31 % | 11.35 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Southampton – Norwich | under_2_5 | 2.37 | 42.19 % | 40.15 % | 28.80 % | 3.47 | -31.74 % | -13.39 % | -11.35 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Wolves – West Ham | over_2_5 | 1.89 | 52.91 % | 50.52 % | 55.61 % | 1.80 | 5.10 % | 2.70 % | 5.09 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Wolves – West Ham | under_2_5 | 1.93 | 51.81 % | 49.48 % | 44.39 % | 2.25 | -14.33 % | -7.42 % | -5.09 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Liverpool – Everton | over_2_5 | 1.58 | 63.29 % | 60.10 % | 69.04 % | 1.45 | 9.08 % | 5.75 % | 8.94 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Liverpool – Everton | under_2_5 | 2.38 | 42.02 % | 39.90 % | 30.96 % | 3.23 | -26.31 % | -11.06 % | -8.94 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Sheffield United – Newcastle | over_2_5 | 2.33 | 42.92 % | 40.86 % | 37.55 % | 2.66 | -12.50 % | -5.36 % | -3.31 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Sheffield United – Newcastle | under_2_5 | 1.61 | 62.11 % | 59.14 % | 62.45 % | 1.60 | 0.54 % | 0.33 % | 3.31 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Arsenal – Brighton | over_2_5 | 1.54 | 64.94 % | 61.88 % | 58.04 % | 1.72 | -10.63 % | -6.90 % | -3.85 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Arsenal – Brighton | under_2_5 | 2.50 | 40.00 % | 38.12 % | 41.96 % | 2.38 | 4.91 % | 1.96 % | 3.85 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Everton – Chelsea | over_2_5 | 1.69 | 59.17 % | 56.33 % | 74.43 % | 1.34 | 25.79 % | 15.26 % | 18.10 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Everton – Chelsea | under_2_5 | 2.18 | 45.87 % | 43.67 % | 25.57 % | 3.91 | -44.26 % | -20.30 % | -18.10 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Bournemouth – Liverpool | over_2_5 | 1.50 | 66.67 % | 63.33 % | 67.37 % | 1.48 | 1.05 % | 0.70 % | 4.04 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Bournemouth – Liverpool | under_2_5 | 2.59 | 38.61 % | 36.67 % | 32.63 % | 3.06 | -15.48 % | -5.98 % | -4.04 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Tottenham – Burnley | over_2_5 | 1.59 | 62.89 % | 59.64 % | 72.51 % | 1.38 | 15.29 % | 9.61 % | 12.86 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Tottenham – Burnley | under_2_5 | 2.35 | 42.55 % | 40.36 % | 27.49 % | 3.64 | -35.39 % | -15.06 % | -12.86 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Watford – Crystal Palace | over_2_5 | 2.05 | 48.78 % | 46.48 % | 31.50 % | 3.17 | -35.42 % | -17.28 % | -14.97 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Watford – Crystal Palace | under_2_5 | 1.78 | 56.18 % | 53.52 % | 68.50 % | 1.46 | 21.92 % | 12.32 % | 14.97 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Man City – Man United | over_2_5 | 1.49 | 67.11 % | 63.83 % | 77.48 % | 1.29 | 15.45 % | 10.37 % | 13.65 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Man City – Man United | under_2_5 | 2.63 | 38.02 % | 36.17 % | 22.52 % | 4.44 | -40.78 % | -15.50 % | -13.65 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Aston Villa – Leicester | over_2_5 | 1.62 | 61.73 % | 58.78 % | 67.59 % | 1.48 | 9.50 % | 5.86 % | 8.81 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Aston Villa – Leicester | under_2_5 | 2.31 | 43.29 % | 41.22 % | 32.41 % | 3.09 | -25.13 % | -10.88 % | -8.81 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Newcastle – Southampton | over_2_5 | 2.12 | 47.17 % | 44.94 % | 58.21 % | 1.72 | 23.41 % | 11.04 % | 13.28 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Newcastle – Southampton | under_2_5 | 1.73 | 57.80 % | 55.06 % | 41.79 % | 2.39 | -27.71 % | -16.02 % | -13.28 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Norwich – Sheffield United | over_2_5 | 1.84 | 54.35 % | 51.96 % | 49.65 % | 2.01 | -8.64 % | -4.69 % | -2.30 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Norwich – Sheffield United | under_2_5 | 1.99 | 50.25 % | 48.04 % | 50.35 % | 1.99 | 0.19 % | 0.09 % | 2.30 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Brighton – Wolves | over_2_5 | 2.29 | 43.67 % | 41.58 % | 48.89 % | 2.05 | 11.95 % | 5.22 % | 7.30 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Brighton – Wolves | under_2_5 | 1.63 | 61.35 % | 58.42 % | 51.11 % | 1.96 | -16.68 % | -10.24 % | -7.30 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | West Ham – Arsenal | over_2_5 | 1.44 | 69.44 % | 65.88 % | 60.84 % | 1.64 | -12.40 % | -8.61 % | -5.04 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | West Ham – Arsenal | under_2_5 | 2.78 | 35.97 % | 34.12 % | 39.16 % | 2.55 | 8.87 % | 3.19 % | 5.04 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Liverpool – Watford | over_2_5 | 1.39 | 71.94 % | 68.41 % | 78.76 % | 1.27 | 9.48 % | 6.82 % | 10.35 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Liverpool – Watford | under_2_5 | 3.01 | 33.22 % | 31.59 % | 21.24 % | 4.71 | -36.08 % | -11.99 % | -10.35 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Burnley – Newcastle | over_2_5 | 2.11 | 47.39 % | 45.19 % | 56.87 % | 1.76 | 19.99 % | 9.47 % | 11.67 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Burnley – Newcastle | under_2_5 | 1.74 | 57.47 % | 54.81 % | 43.13 % | 2.32 | -24.95 % | -14.34 % | -11.67 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Chelsea – Bournemouth | over_2_5 | 1.40 | 71.43 % | 67.74 % | 70.04 % | 1.43 | -1.94 % | -1.38 % | 2.30 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Chelsea – Bournemouth | under_2_5 | 2.94 | 34.01 % | 32.26 % | 29.96 % | 3.34 | -11.93 % | -4.06 % | -2.30 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Leicester – Norwich | over_2_5 | 1.43 | 69.93 % | 66.43 % | 84.89 % | 1.18 | 21.40 % | 14.96 % | 18.46 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Leicester – Norwich | under_2_5 | 2.83 | 35.34 % | 33.57 % | 15.11 % | 6.62 | -57.25 % | -20.23 % | -18.46 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Sheffield United – Aston Villa | over_2_5 | 1.81 | 55.25 % | 52.74 % | 52.05 % | 1.92 | -5.79 % | -3.20 % | -0.69 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Sheffield United – Aston Villa | under_2_5 | 2.02 | 49.50 % | 47.26 % | 47.95 % | 2.09 | -3.14 % | -1.55 % | 0.69 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Southampton – West Ham | over_2_5 | 1.61 | 62.11 % | 59.14 % | 66.55 % | 1.50 | 7.14 % | 4.43 % | 7.41 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Southampton – West Ham | under_2_5 | 2.33 | 42.92 % | 40.86 % | 33.45 % | 2.99 | -22.05 % | -9.46 % | -7.41 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Man United – Everton | over_2_5 | 1.80 | 55.56 % | 53.00 % | 63.50 % | 1.57 | 14.31 % | 7.95 % | 10.50 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Man United – Everton | under_2_5 | 2.03 | 49.26 % | 47.00 % | 36.50 % | 2.74 | -25.91 % | -12.76 % | -10.50 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Wolves – Tottenham | over_2_5 | 1.90 | 52.63 % | 50.26 % | 64.72 % | 1.55 | 22.96 % | 12.09 % | 14.45 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:03:44 | Wolves – Tottenham | under_2_5 | 1.92 | 52.08 % | 49.74 % | 35.28 % | 2.83 | -32.26 % | -16.80 % | -14.45 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |