Predictions
| Created | Event | Selection | Odds | Raw | No-vig | Model | Fair odds | EV | Break-even edge | Market edge | Version | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Milan – Verona | under_2_5 | 1.94 | 51.55 % | 48.27 % | 41.84 % | 2.39 | -18.83 % | -9.71 % | -6.43 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Sunderland – Leeds | over_2_5 | 2.19 | 45.66 % | 42.82 % | 49.23 % | 2.03 | 7.82 % | 3.57 % | 6.41 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Sunderland – Leeds | under_2_5 | 1.64 | 60.98 % | 57.18 % | 50.77 % | 1.97 | -16.74 % | -10.21 % | -6.41 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Cremonese – Napoli | over_2_5 | 2.04 | 49.02 % | 45.89 % | 56.08 % | 1.78 | 14.41 % | 7.06 % | 10.19 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Cremonese – Napoli | under_2_5 | 1.73 | 57.80 % | 54.11 % | 43.92 % | 2.28 | -24.02 % | -13.89 % | -10.19 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Crystal Palace – Tottenham | over_2_5 | 1.96 | 51.02 % | 47.87 % | 61.30 % | 1.63 | 20.14 % | 10.28 % | 13.43 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Crystal Palace – Tottenham | under_2_5 | 1.80 | 55.56 % | 52.13 % | 38.70 % | 2.58 | -30.34 % | -16.85 % | -13.43 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Bologna – Sassuolo | over_2_5 | 1.98 | 50.51 % | 47.20 % | 64.85 % | 1.54 | 28.40 % | 14.34 % | 17.65 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Bologna – Sassuolo | under_2_5 | 1.77 | 56.50 % | 52.80 % | 35.15 % | 2.84 | -37.78 % | -21.35 % | -17.65 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Atalanta – Inter | over_2_5 | 1.74 | 57.47 % | 53.72 % | 65.01 % | 1.54 | 13.11 % | 7.53 % | 11.28 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Atalanta – Inter | under_2_5 | 2.02 | 49.50 % | 46.28 % | 34.99 % | 2.86 | -29.31 % | -14.51 % | -11.28 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Coventry – Ipswich | over_2_5 | 1.86 | 53.76 % | 50.40 % | 60.34 % | 1.66 | 12.22 % | 6.57 % | 9.94 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Coventry – Ipswich | under_2_5 | 1.89 | 52.91 % | 49.60 % | 39.66 % | 2.52 | -25.03 % | -13.25 % | -9.94 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Leicester – Derby | over_2_5 | 2.12 | 47.17 % | 44.06 % | 51.78 % | 1.93 | 9.77 % | 4.61 % | 7.72 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Leicester – Derby | under_2_5 | 1.67 | 59.88 % | 55.94 % | 48.22 % | 2.07 | -19.47 % | -11.66 % | -7.72 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Middlesbrough – Hull | over_2_5 | 1.69 | 59.17 % | 55.41 % | 49.10 % | 2.04 | -17.03 % | -10.08 % | -6.31 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Middlesbrough – Hull | under_2_5 | 2.10 | 47.62 % | 44.59 % | 50.90 % | 1.96 | 6.90 % | 3.29 % | 6.31 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Millwall – Bristol City | over_2_5 | 2.01 | 49.75 % | 46.54 % | 38.00 % | 2.63 | -23.61 % | -11.75 % | -8.54 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Millwall – Bristol City | under_2_5 | 1.75 | 57.14 % | 53.46 % | 62.00 % | 1.61 | 8.49 % | 4.85 % | 8.54 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Norwich – Watford | over_2_5 | 1.76 | 56.82 % | 53.07 % | 49.52 % | 2.02 | -12.84 % | -7.29 % | -3.54 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Norwich – Watford | under_2_5 | 1.99 | 50.25 % | 46.93 % | 50.48 % | 1.98 | 0.45 % | 0.22 % | 3.54 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Oxford – Swansea | over_2_5 | 2.12 | 47.17 % | 44.21 % | 43.04 % | 2.32 | -8.75 % | -4.13 % | -1.17 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Oxford – Swansea | under_2_5 | 1.68 | 59.52 % | 55.79 % | 56.96 % | 1.76 | -4.31 % | -2.57 % | 1.17 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Portsmouth – Charlton | over_2_5 | 2.23 | 44.84 % | 41.93 % | 42.65 % | 2.34 | -4.88 % | -2.19 % | 0.73 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Portsmouth – Charlton | under_2_5 | 1.61 | 62.11 % | 58.07 % | 57.35 % | 1.74 | -7.67 % | -4.77 % | -0.73 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Sheffield Weds – Blackburn | over_2_5 | 1.89 | 52.91 % | 49.47 % | 45.19 % | 2.21 | -14.60 % | -7.72 % | -4.28 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Sheffield Weds – Blackburn | under_2_5 | 1.85 | 54.05 % | 50.53 % | 54.81 % | 1.82 | 1.40 % | 0.76 % | 4.28 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Stoke – Sheffield United | over_2_5 | 2.03 | 49.26 % | 46.15 % | 40.88 % | 2.45 | -17.02 % | -8.38 % | -5.27 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Stoke – Sheffield United | under_2_5 | 1.74 | 57.47 % | 53.85 % | 59.12 % | 1.69 | 2.87 % | 1.65 % | 5.27 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | West Brom – QPR | over_2_5 | 1.98 | 50.51 % | 47.20 % | 46.27 % | 2.16 | -8.38 % | -4.23 % | -0.93 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | West Brom – QPR | under_2_5 | 1.77 | 56.50 % | 52.80 % | 53.73 % | 1.86 | -4.90 % | -2.77 % | 0.93 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Wrexham – Preston | over_2_5 | 2.09 | 47.85 % | 44.71 % | 45.96 % | 2.18 | -3.94 % | -1.88 % | 1.25 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Wrexham – Preston | under_2_5 | 1.69 | 59.17 % | 55.29 % | 54.04 % | 1.85 | -8.68 % | -5.13 % | -1.25 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Roma – Genoa | over_2_5 | 2.32 | 43.10 % | 40.21 % | 54.49 % | 1.84 | 26.42 % | 11.39 % | 14.28 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Roma – Genoa | under_2_5 | 1.56 | 64.10 % | 59.79 % | 45.51 % | 2.20 | -29.01 % | -18.59 % | -14.28 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Birmingham – Southampton | over_2_5 | 1.82 | 54.95 % | 51.34 % | 54.26 % | 1.84 | -1.25 % | -0.69 % | 2.92 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Birmingham – Southampton | under_2_5 | 1.92 | 52.08 % | 48.66 % | 45.74 % | 2.19 | -12.17 % | -6.34 % | -2.92 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Burnley – Newcastle | over_2_5 | 1.77 | 56.50 % | 53.05 % | 53.11 % | 1.88 | -5.99 % | -3.38 % | 0.06 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Burnley – Newcastle | under_2_5 | 2.00 | 50.00 % | 46.95 % | 46.89 % | 2.13 | -6.23 % | -3.11 % | -0.06 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Chelsea – Bournemouth | over_2_5 | 1.49 | 67.11 % | 63.39 % | 60.79 % | 1.65 | -9.42 % | -6.32 % | -2.60 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Chelsea – Bournemouth | under_2_5 | 2.58 | 38.76 % | 36.61 % | 39.21 % | 2.55 | 1.16 % | 0.45 % | 2.60 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Nott'm Forest – Everton | over_2_5 | 2.28 | 43.86 % | 41.24 % | 43.47 % | 2.30 | -0.89 % | -0.39 % | 2.23 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Nott'm Forest – Everton | under_2_5 | 1.60 | 62.50 % | 58.76 % | 56.53 % | 1.77 | -9.55 % | -5.97 % | -2.23 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | West Ham – Brighton | over_2_5 | 1.65 | 60.61 % | 57.03 % | 61.41 % | 1.63 | 1.33 % | 0.81 % | 4.38 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | West Ham – Brighton | under_2_5 | 2.19 | 45.66 % | 42.97 % | 38.59 % | 2.59 | -15.50 % | -7.08 % | -4.38 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Arsenal – Aston Villa | over_2_5 | 1.67 | 59.88 % | 56.51 % | 62.32 % | 1.60 | 4.07 % | 2.44 % | 5.81 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Arsenal – Aston Villa | under_2_5 | 2.17 | 46.08 % | 43.49 % | 37.68 % | 2.65 | -18.23 % | -8.40 % | -5.81 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Man United – Wolves | over_2_5 | 1.58 | 63.29 % | 59.49 % | 56.89 % | 1.76 | -10.12 % | -6.41 % | -2.60 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Man United – Wolves | under_2_5 | 2.32 | 43.10 % | 40.51 % | 43.11 % | 2.32 | 0.03 % | 0.01 % | 2.60 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:28:38 | Blackburn – Wrexham | over_2_5 | 2.00 | 50.00 % | 46.81 % | 48.71 % | 2.05 | -2.58 % | -1.29 % | 1.90 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |