Predictions
| Created | Event | Selection | Odds | Raw | No-vig | Model | Fair odds | EV | Break-even edge | Market edge | Version | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Birmingham – Fulham | under_2_5 | 1.63 | 61.35 % | 58.31 % | 62.70 % | 1.59 | 2.20 % | 1.35 % | 4.39 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Bristol City – Luton | over_2_5 | 2.20 | 45.45 % | 43.30 % | 45.43 % | 2.20 | -0.05 % | -0.02 % | 2.13 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Bristol City – Luton | under_2_5 | 1.68 | 59.52 % | 56.70 % | 54.57 % | 1.83 | -8.33 % | -4.96 % | -2.13 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Coventry – Cardiff | over_2_5 | 2.17 | 46.08 % | 43.78 % | 43.34 % | 2.31 | -5.96 % | -2.75 % | -0.44 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Coventry – Cardiff | under_2_5 | 1.69 | 59.17 % | 56.22 % | 56.66 % | 1.76 | -4.24 % | -2.51 % | 0.44 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Nott'm Forest – Middlesbrough | over_2_5 | 2.44 | 40.98 % | 39.00 % | 30.11 % | 3.32 | -26.53 % | -10.87 % | -8.89 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Nott'm Forest – Middlesbrough | under_2_5 | 1.56 | 64.10 % | 61.00 % | 69.89 % | 1.43 | 9.03 % | 5.79 % | 8.89 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Stoke – Barnsley | over_2_5 | 2.23 | 44.84 % | 42.67 % | 43.05 % | 2.32 | -4.00 % | -1.79 % | 0.38 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Stoke – Barnsley | under_2_5 | 1.66 | 60.24 % | 57.33 % | 56.95 % | 1.76 | -5.46 % | -3.29 % | -0.38 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Swansea – Millwall | over_2_5 | 2.33 | 42.92 % | 40.86 % | 32.75 % | 3.05 | -23.69 % | -10.17 % | -8.11 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Swansea – Millwall | under_2_5 | 1.61 | 62.11 % | 59.14 % | 67.25 % | 1.49 | 8.27 % | 5.14 % | 8.11 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Sassuolo – Torino | over_2_5 | 1.54 | 64.94 % | 61.69 % | 76.35 % | 1.31 | 17.58 % | 11.42 % | 14.66 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Sassuolo – Torino | under_2_5 | 2.48 | 40.32 % | 38.31 % | 23.65 % | 4.23 | -41.35 % | -16.67 % | -14.66 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Newcastle – Leeds | over_2_5 | 1.65 | 60.61 % | 58.12 % | 58.04 % | 1.72 | -4.23 % | -2.56 % | -0.08 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Newcastle – Leeds | under_2_5 | 2.29 | 43.67 % | 41.88 % | 41.96 % | 2.38 | -3.92 % | -1.71 % | 0.08 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Celta – Cadiz | over_2_5 | 1.92 | 52.08 % | 49.87 % | 45.69 % | 2.19 | -12.28 % | -6.39 % | -4.18 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Celta – Cadiz | under_2_5 | 1.91 | 52.36 % | 50.13 % | 54.31 % | 1.84 | 3.73 % | 1.95 % | 4.18 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Strasbourg – Metz | over_2_5 | 2.14 | 46.73 % | 44.70 % | 45.64 % | 2.19 | -2.33 % | -1.09 % | 0.94 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Strasbourg – Metz | under_2_5 | 1.73 | 57.80 % | 55.30 % | 54.36 % | 1.84 | -5.96 % | -3.44 % | -0.94 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Wolves – Brentford | over_2_5 | 2.49 | 40.16 % | 38.52 % | 39.30 % | 2.54 | -2.15 % | -0.86 % | 0.78 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Wolves – Brentford | under_2_5 | 1.56 | 64.10 % | 61.48 % | 60.70 % | 1.65 | -5.30 % | -3.40 % | -0.78 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Hull – Sheffield United | over_2_5 | 2.23 | 44.84 % | 42.67 % | 42.40 % | 2.36 | -5.45 % | -2.44 % | -0.27 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Hull – Sheffield United | under_2_5 | 1.66 | 60.24 % | 57.33 % | 57.60 % | 1.74 | -4.39 % | -2.64 % | 0.27 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Genoa – Fiorentina | over_2_5 | 1.91 | 52.36 % | 50.13 % | 60.58 % | 1.65 | 15.70 % | 8.22 % | 10.45 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Genoa – Fiorentina | under_2_5 | 1.92 | 52.08 % | 49.87 % | 39.42 % | 2.54 | -24.31 % | -12.66 % | -10.45 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Augsburg – M'gladbach | over_2_5 | 1.59 | 62.89 % | 60.25 % | 72.32 % | 1.38 | 14.99 % | 9.43 % | 12.07 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Augsburg – M'gladbach | under_2_5 | 2.41 | 41.49 % | 39.75 % | 27.68 % | 3.61 | -33.29 % | -13.81 % | -12.07 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Bielefeld – Hoffenheim | over_2_5 | 1.73 | 57.80 % | 55.18 % | 51.33 % | 1.95 | -11.20 % | -6.47 % | -3.85 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Bielefeld – Hoffenheim | under_2_5 | 2.13 | 46.95 % | 44.82 % | 48.67 % | 2.05 | 3.67 % | 1.72 % | 3.85 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Mainz – Freiburg | over_2_5 | 1.84 | 54.35 % | 52.08 % | 64.13 % | 1.56 | 18.01 % | 9.79 % | 12.05 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Mainz – Freiburg | under_2_5 | 2.00 | 50.00 % | 47.92 % | 35.87 % | 2.79 | -28.27 % | -14.13 % | -12.05 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Burnley – Arsenal | over_2_5 | 2.03 | 49.26 % | 47.27 % | 43.82 % | 2.28 | -11.04 % | -5.44 % | -3.45 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Burnley – Arsenal | under_2_5 | 1.82 | 54.95 % | 52.73 % | 56.18 % | 1.78 | 2.25 % | 1.23 % | 3.45 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Liverpool – Crystal Palace | over_2_5 | 1.50 | 66.67 % | 63.41 % | 61.44 % | 1.63 | -7.84 % | -5.22 % | -1.97 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Liverpool – Crystal Palace | under_2_5 | 2.60 | 38.46 % | 36.59 % | 38.56 % | 2.59 | 0.25 % | 0.10 % | 1.97 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Man City – Southampton | over_2_5 | 1.40 | 71.43 % | 68.11 % | 78.26 % | 1.28 | 9.56 % | 6.83 % | 10.15 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Man City – Southampton | under_2_5 | 2.99 | 33.44 % | 31.89 % | 21.74 % | 4.60 | -35.00 % | -11.70 % | -10.15 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Norwich – Watford | over_2_5 | 2.11 | 47.39 % | 45.48 % | 39.71 % | 2.52 | -16.21 % | -7.68 % | -5.77 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Norwich – Watford | under_2_5 | 1.76 | 56.82 % | 54.52 % | 60.29 % | 1.66 | 6.11 % | 3.47 % | 5.77 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Barnsley – Blackburn | over_2_5 | 2.19 | 45.66 % | 43.41 % | 46.84 % | 2.13 | 2.59 % | 1.18 % | 3.43 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Barnsley – Blackburn | under_2_5 | 1.68 | 59.52 % | 56.59 % | 53.16 % | 1.88 | -10.70 % | -6.37 % | -3.43 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Cardiff – Bournemouth | over_2_5 | 2.06 | 48.54 % | 46.21 % | 51.27 % | 1.95 | 5.61 % | 2.72 % | 5.05 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Cardiff – Bournemouth | under_2_5 | 1.77 | 56.50 % | 53.79 % | 48.73 % | 2.05 | -13.74 % | -7.76 % | -5.05 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Derby – Stoke | over_2_5 | 2.41 | 41.49 % | 39.45 % | 39.48 % | 2.53 | -4.85 % | -2.01 % | 0.04 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Derby – Stoke | under_2_5 | 1.57 | 63.69 % | 60.55 % | 60.52 % | 1.65 | -4.99 % | -3.18 % | -0.04 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Fulham – Reading | over_2_5 | 1.69 | 59.17 % | 56.22 % | 43.76 % | 2.29 | -26.05 % | -15.41 % | -12.46 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Fulham – Reading | under_2_5 | 2.17 | 46.08 % | 43.78 % | 56.24 % | 1.78 | 22.05 % | 10.16 % | 12.46 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Huddersfield – Nott'm Forest | over_2_5 | 2.14 | 46.73 % | 44.56 % | 36.56 % | 2.73 | -21.75 % | -10.16 % | -8.00 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Huddersfield – Nott'm Forest | under_2_5 | 1.72 | 58.14 % | 55.44 % | 63.44 % | 1.58 | 9.11 % | 5.30 % | 8.00 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:30:26 | Luton – Swansea | over_2_5 | 2.12 | 47.17 % | 44.94 % | 37.77 % | 2.65 | -19.92 % | -9.40 % | -7.16 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |