Predictions
| Created | Event | Selection | Odds | Raw | No-vig | Model | Fair odds | EV | Break-even edge | Market edge | Version | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Ipswich – Southampton | over_2_5 | 1.76 | 56.82 % | 54.29 % | 72.01 % | 1.39 | 26.74 % | 15.20 % | 17.73 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Ipswich – Southampton | under_2_5 | 2.09 | 47.85 % | 45.71 % | 27.99 % | 3.57 | -41.51 % | -19.86 % | -17.73 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Newcastle – Fulham | over_2_5 | 1.64 | 60.98 % | 58.16 % | 60.50 % | 1.65 | -0.77 % | -0.47 % | 2.34 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Newcastle – Fulham | under_2_5 | 2.28 | 43.86 % | 41.84 % | 39.50 % | 2.53 | -9.95 % | -4.36 % | -2.34 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Derby – Sheffield United | over_2_5 | 2.21 | 45.25 % | 42.75 % | 38.42 % | 2.60 | -15.10 % | -6.83 % | -4.33 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Derby – Sheffield United | under_2_5 | 1.65 | 60.61 % | 57.25 % | 61.58 % | 1.62 | 1.61 % | 0.98 % | 4.33 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Hull – Stoke | over_2_5 | 2.00 | 50.00 % | 47.37 % | 42.48 % | 2.35 | -15.03 % | -7.52 % | -4.89 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Hull – Stoke | under_2_5 | 1.80 | 55.56 % | 52.63 % | 57.52 % | 1.74 | 3.53 % | 1.96 % | 4.89 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Leeds – Cardiff | over_2_5 | 1.72 | 58.14 % | 54.97 % | 54.29 % | 1.84 | -6.63 % | -3.85 % | -0.69 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Leeds – Cardiff | under_2_5 | 2.10 | 47.62 % | 45.03 % | 45.71 % | 2.19 | -4.00 % | -1.90 % | 0.69 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Millwall – QPR | over_2_5 | 2.63 | 38.02 % | 35.70 % | 37.38 % | 2.68 | -1.70 % | -0.65 % | 1.68 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Millwall – QPR | under_2_5 | 1.46 | 68.49 % | 64.30 % | 62.62 % | 1.60 | -8.57 % | -5.87 % | -1.68 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Portsmouth – Burnley | over_2_5 | 2.15 | 46.51 % | 44.01 % | 54.26 % | 1.84 | 16.66 % | 7.75 % | 10.25 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Portsmouth – Burnley | under_2_5 | 1.69 | 59.17 % | 55.99 % | 45.74 % | 2.19 | -22.70 % | -13.43 % | -10.25 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Sheffield Weds – Luton | over_2_5 | 2.12 | 47.17 % | 44.50 % | 46.81 % | 2.14 | -0.77 % | -0.36 % | 2.31 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Sheffield Weds – Luton | under_2_5 | 1.70 | 58.82 % | 55.50 % | 53.19 % | 1.88 | -9.57 % | -5.63 % | -2.31 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Swansea – Coventry | over_2_5 | 1.96 | 51.02 % | 48.28 % | 46.14 % | 2.17 | -9.56 % | -4.88 % | -2.14 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Swansea – Coventry | under_2_5 | 1.83 | 54.64 % | 51.72 % | 53.86 % | 1.86 | -1.45 % | -0.79 % | 2.14 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Villarreal – Valladolid | over_2_5 | 1.45 | 68.97 % | 64.98 % | 53.79 % | 1.86 | -22.00 % | -15.17 % | -11.18 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Villarreal – Valladolid | under_2_5 | 2.69 | 37.17 % | 35.02 % | 46.21 % | 2.16 | 24.30 % | 9.03 % | 11.18 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Brest – Paris SG | over_2_5 | 1.54 | 64.94 % | 61.11 % | 69.02 % | 1.45 | 6.29 % | 4.09 % | 7.91 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Brest – Paris SG | under_2_5 | 2.42 | 41.32 % | 38.89 % | 30.98 % | 3.23 | -25.03 % | -10.34 % | -7.91 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Atalanta – Torino | over_2_5 | 1.90 | 52.63 % | 50.26 % | 63.45 % | 1.58 | 20.55 % | 10.81 % | 13.18 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Atalanta – Torino | under_2_5 | 1.92 | 52.08 % | 49.74 % | 36.55 % | 2.74 | -29.82 % | -15.53 % | -13.18 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Wolves – Aston Villa | over_2_5 | 1.70 | 58.82 % | 56.07 % | 55.05 % | 1.82 | -6.41 % | -3.77 % | -1.02 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Wolves – Aston Villa | under_2_5 | 2.17 | 46.08 % | 43.93 % | 44.95 % | 2.22 | -2.46 % | -1.13 % | 1.02 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Union Berlin – RB Leipzig | over_2_5 | 1.76 | 56.82 % | 54.17 % | 64.88 % | 1.54 | 14.19 % | 8.06 % | 10.71 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Union Berlin – RB Leipzig | under_2_5 | 2.08 | 48.08 % | 45.83 % | 35.12 % | 2.85 | -26.95 % | -12.96 % | -10.71 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Ath Madrid – Mallorca | over_2_5 | 2.22 | 45.05 % | 42.78 % | 46.78 % | 2.14 | 3.84 % | 1.73 % | 3.99 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Ath Madrid – Mallorca | under_2_5 | 1.66 | 60.24 % | 57.22 % | 53.22 % | 1.88 | -11.65 % | -7.02 % | -3.99 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Monaco – Auxerre | over_2_5 | 1.45 | 68.97 % | 64.89 % | 65.75 % | 1.52 | -4.66 % | -3.21 % | 0.86 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Monaco – Auxerre | under_2_5 | 2.68 | 37.31 % | 35.11 % | 34.25 % | 2.92 | -8.22 % | -3.07 % | -0.86 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Bologna – Como | over_2_5 | 2.00 | 50.00 % | 47.78 % | 59.36 % | 1.68 | 18.72 % | 9.36 % | 11.58 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Bologna – Como | under_2_5 | 1.83 | 54.64 % | 52.22 % | 40.64 % | 2.46 | -25.63 % | -14.01 % | -11.58 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Espanol – Real Madrid | over_2_5 | 1.59 | 62.89 % | 59.75 % | 58.49 % | 1.71 | -7.00 % | -4.40 % | -1.26 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Espanol – Real Madrid | under_2_5 | 2.36 | 42.37 % | 40.25 % | 41.51 % | 2.41 | -2.03 % | -0.86 % | 1.26 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Lille – St Etienne | over_2_5 | 1.81 | 55.25 % | 52.74 % | 56.07 % | 1.78 | 1.49 % | 0.82 % | 3.33 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Lille – St Etienne | under_2_5 | 2.02 | 49.50 % | 47.26 % | 43.93 % | 2.28 | -11.26 % | -5.58 % | -3.33 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Juventus – Empoli | over_2_5 | 1.95 | 51.28 % | 48.95 % | 51.47 % | 1.94 | 0.36 % | 0.19 % | 2.52 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Juventus – Empoli | under_2_5 | 1.87 | 53.48 % | 51.05 % | 48.53 % | 2.06 | -9.25 % | -4.94 % | -2.52 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Barcelona – Alaves | over_2_5 | 1.35 | 74.07 % | 69.66 % | 63.21 % | 1.58 | -14.66 % | -10.86 % | -6.45 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Barcelona – Alaves | under_2_5 | 3.10 | 32.26 % | 30.34 % | 36.79 % | 2.72 | 14.04 % | 4.53 % | 6.45 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Brentford – Tottenham | over_2_5 | 1.33 | 75.19 % | 70.96 % | 67.32 % | 1.49 | -10.47 % | -7.87 % | -3.65 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Brentford – Tottenham | under_2_5 | 3.25 | 30.77 % | 29.04 % | 32.68 % | 3.06 | 6.22 % | 1.92 % | 3.65 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Man United – Crystal Palace | over_2_5 | 1.83 | 54.64 % | 52.09 % | 55.41 % | 1.80 | 1.41 % | 0.77 % | 3.32 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Man United – Crystal Palace | under_2_5 | 1.99 | 50.25 % | 47.91 % | 44.59 % | 2.24 | -11.27 % | -5.67 % | -3.32 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Fiorentina – Genoa | over_2_5 | 2.05 | 48.78 % | 46.48 % | 53.43 % | 1.87 | 9.54 % | 4.65 % | 6.96 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Fiorentina – Genoa | under_2_5 | 1.78 | 56.18 % | 53.52 % | 46.57 % | 2.15 | -17.11 % | -9.61 % | -6.96 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Toulouse – Nice | over_2_5 | 1.91 | 52.36 % | 49.87 % | 48.06 % | 2.08 | -8.20 % | -4.29 % | -1.81 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:25:20 | Toulouse – Nice | under_2_5 | 1.90 | 52.63 % | 50.13 % | 51.94 % | 1.93 | -1.32 % | -0.69 % | 1.81 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |