Predictions
| Created | Event | Selection | Odds | Raw | No-vig | Model | Fair odds | EV | Break-even edge | Market edge | Version | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Derby – Cardiff | over_2_5 | 1.83 | 54.64 % | 52.09 % | 46.09 % | 2.17 | -15.65 % | -8.55 % | -6.00 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Derby – Cardiff | under_2_5 | 1.99 | 50.25 % | 47.91 % | 53.91 % | 1.86 | 7.28 % | 3.66 % | 6.00 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Fulham – West Brom | over_2_5 | 1.70 | 58.82 % | 55.96 % | 48.49 % | 2.06 | -17.57 % | -10.34 % | -7.47 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Fulham – West Brom | under_2_5 | 2.16 | 46.30 % | 44.04 % | 51.51 % | 1.94 | 11.27 % | 5.22 % | 7.47 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Blackburn – Millwall | over_2_5 | 2.14 | 46.73 % | 44.42 % | 19.43 % | 5.15 | -58.43 % | -27.30 % | -24.99 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Blackburn – Millwall | under_2_5 | 1.71 | 58.48 % | 55.58 % | 80.57 % | 1.24 | 37.78 % | 22.09 % | 24.99 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Charlton – Birmingham | over_2_5 | 2.13 | 46.95 % | 44.53 % | 48.38 % | 2.07 | 3.06 % | 1.44 % | 3.85 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Charlton – Birmingham | under_2_5 | 1.71 | 58.48 % | 55.47 % | 51.62 % | 1.94 | -11.74 % | -6.86 % | -3.85 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Hull – Wigan | over_2_5 | 1.82 | 54.95 % | 52.23 % | 38.65 % | 2.59 | -29.65 % | -16.29 % | -13.58 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Hull – Wigan | under_2_5 | 1.99 | 50.25 % | 47.77 % | 61.35 % | 1.63 | 22.08 % | 11.09 % | 13.58 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Middlesbrough – Reading | over_2_5 | 1.97 | 50.76 % | 48.29 % | 47.76 % | 2.09 | -5.91 % | -3.00 % | -0.53 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Middlesbrough – Reading | under_2_5 | 1.84 | 54.35 % | 51.71 % | 52.24 % | 1.91 | -3.89 % | -2.11 % | 0.53 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Preston – Brentford | over_2_5 | 1.91 | 52.36 % | 49.74 % | 24.70 % | 4.05 | -52.82 % | -27.65 % | -25.03 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Preston – Brentford | under_2_5 | 1.89 | 52.91 % | 50.26 % | 75.30 % | 1.33 | 42.31 % | 22.39 % | 25.03 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | QPR – Luton | over_2_5 | 1.68 | 59.52 % | 56.48 % | 74.52 % | 1.34 | 25.19 % | 14.99 % | 18.04 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | QPR – Luton | under_2_5 | 2.18 | 45.87 % | 43.52 % | 25.48 % | 3.92 | -44.44 % | -20.39 % | -18.04 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Stoke – Bristol City | over_2_5 | 2.05 | 48.78 % | 46.48 % | 82.43 % | 1.21 | 68.99 % | 33.65 % | 35.96 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Stoke – Bristol City | under_2_5 | 1.78 | 56.18 % | 53.52 % | 17.57 % | 5.69 | -68.73 % | -38.61 % | -35.96 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Swansea – Nott'm Forest | over_2_5 | 1.79 | 55.87 % | 53.14 % | 42.25 % | 2.37 | -24.37 % | -13.61 % | -10.89 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Swansea – Nott'm Forest | under_2_5 | 2.03 | 49.26 % | 46.86 % | 57.75 % | 1.73 | 17.23 % | 8.49 % | 10.89 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Huddersfield – Sheffield Weds | over_2_5 | 2.13 | 46.95 % | 44.53 % | 45.35 % | 2.20 | -3.39 % | -1.59 % | 0.82 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Huddersfield – Sheffield Weds | under_2_5 | 1.71 | 58.48 % | 55.47 % | 54.65 % | 1.83 | -6.56 % | -3.83 % | -0.82 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Barnsley – Leeds | over_2_5 | 1.71 | 58.48 % | 55.47 % | 35.67 % | 2.80 | -39.00 % | -22.81 % | -19.80 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Barnsley – Leeds | under_2_5 | 2.13 | 46.95 % | 44.53 % | 64.33 % | 1.55 | 37.02 % | 17.38 % | 19.80 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Strasbourg – Nantes | over_2_5 | 2.55 | 39.22 % | 37.19 % | 11.67 % | 8.57 | -70.25 % | -27.55 % | -25.52 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Strasbourg – Nantes | under_2_5 | 1.51 | 66.23 % | 62.81 % | 88.33 % | 1.13 | 33.38 % | 22.11 % | 25.52 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Southampton – Bournemouth | over_2_5 | 1.69 | 59.17 % | 56.67 % | 55.15 % | 1.81 | -6.80 % | -4.03 % | -1.52 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Southampton – Bournemouth | under_2_5 | 2.21 | 45.25 % | 43.33 % | 44.85 % | 2.23 | -0.87 % | -0.40 % | 1.52 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Leicester – Tottenham | over_2_5 | 1.79 | 55.87 % | 53.26 % | 45.03 % | 2.22 | -19.40 % | -10.84 % | -8.24 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Leicester – Tottenham | under_2_5 | 2.04 | 49.02 % | 46.74 % | 54.97 % | 1.82 | 12.14 % | 5.95 % | 8.24 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Leeds – Derby | over_2_5 | 1.59 | 62.89 % | 59.64 % | 40.74 % | 2.45 | -35.23 % | -22.15 % | -18.91 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Leeds – Derby | under_2_5 | 2.35 | 42.55 % | 40.36 % | 59.26 % | 1.69 | 39.26 % | 16.71 % | 18.91 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Burnley – Norwich | over_2_5 | 1.67 | 59.88 % | 57.07 % | 79.15 % | 1.26 | 32.18 % | 19.27 % | 22.08 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Burnley – Norwich | under_2_5 | 2.22 | 45.05 % | 42.93 % | 20.85 % | 4.80 | -53.72 % | -24.20 % | -22.08 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Everton – Sheffield United | over_2_5 | 2.03 | 49.26 % | 47.14 % | 32.73 % | 3.06 | -33.55 % | -16.53 % | -14.40 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Everton – Sheffield United | under_2_5 | 1.81 | 55.25 % | 52.86 % | 67.27 % | 1.49 | 21.75 % | 12.02 % | 14.40 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Man City – Watford | over_2_5 | 1.25 | 80.00 % | 75.78 % | 93.46 % | 1.07 | 16.83 % | 13.46 % | 17.69 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Man City – Watford | under_2_5 | 3.91 | 25.58 % | 24.22 % | 6.54 % | 15.30 | -74.45 % | -19.04 % | -17.69 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Birmingham – Preston | over_2_5 | 2.29 | 43.67 % | 41.28 % | 42.69 % | 2.34 | -2.24 % | -0.98 % | 1.41 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Birmingham – Preston | under_2_5 | 1.61 | 62.11 % | 58.72 % | 57.31 % | 1.74 | -7.73 % | -4.80 % | -1.41 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Brentford – Stoke | over_2_5 | 1.89 | 52.91 % | 50.39 % | 33.64 % | 2.97 | -36.42 % | -19.27 % | -16.75 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Brentford – Stoke | under_2_5 | 1.92 | 52.08 % | 49.61 % | 66.36 % | 1.51 | 27.41 % | 14.28 % | 16.75 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Bristol City – Swansea | over_2_5 | 1.75 | 57.14 % | 54.31 % | 50.97 % | 1.96 | -10.81 % | -6.17 % | -3.34 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Bristol City – Swansea | under_2_5 | 2.08 | 48.08 % | 45.69 % | 49.03 % | 2.04 | 1.99 % | 0.95 % | 3.34 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Cardiff – Middlesbrough | over_2_5 | 1.89 | 52.91 % | 50.26 % | 39.70 % | 2.52 | -24.98 % | -13.21 % | -10.57 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Cardiff – Middlesbrough | under_2_5 | 1.91 | 52.36 % | 49.74 % | 60.30 % | 1.66 | 15.18 % | 7.95 % | 10.57 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Luton – Hull | over_2_5 | 1.62 | 61.73 % | 58.57 % | 72.58 % | 1.38 | 17.57 % | 10.85 % | 14.01 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Luton – Hull | under_2_5 | 2.29 | 43.67 % | 41.43 % | 27.42 % | 3.65 | -37.20 % | -16.24 % | -14.01 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Millwall – QPR | over_2_5 | 2.03 | 49.26 % | 46.86 % | 46.82 % | 2.14 | -4.95 % | -2.44 % | -0.03 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |
| 21.08.2026 14:27:56 | Millwall – QPR | under_2_5 | 1.79 | 55.87 % | 53.14 % | 53.18 % | 1.88 | -4.82 % | -2.69 % | 0.03 % | football-ou25-poisson-v1 | football-data |